Economics

Recent Trends In New Residential Permits for 1999's Top 25 Metro Areas - May 2000

Among 1999's top ten areas in terms of sheer volume of new residential construction, only three - Atlanta, Chicago, and the Washington, DC metropolitan area - were able to build upon their totals through the first five months of this year.
July 13, 2000
3 min read

1999 Rank# of units
Permitted
Year-to-date
% Change
Compared to
Year Ago
1Atlanta GA28,52718.5%2Phoenix-Mesa AZ20,597-6.23Chicago IL15,55511.34Washington DC15,6400.85Dallas TX12,964-21.06Houston TX12,696-10.77Orlando FL9,013-33.08Las Vegas NV11,797-2.09Charlotte NC10,628-2.410Tampa-St. Petersburg FL7,126-9.911Minneapolis MN9,19011.612Denver CO10,74414.513Raleigh-Durham NC8,265-5.514Riverside-San Bernardino CA8,44913.415Seattle WA7,795-7.716Detroit MI7,448-7.417Philadelphia PA6,786-4.018Austin TX6,651-3.119Kansas City MO-KS6,108-7.320San Diego CA6,578-6.921Columbus OH5,9102.022Indianapolis IN6,4901.123New York NY7,01126.624Portland, OR5,686-18.525Los Angeles, CA6,69845.3Source: U.S. Department of Commerce; Professional Builder

Among 1999's top ten areas in terms of sheer volume of new residential construction, only three - Atlanta, Chicago, and the Washington, DC metropolitan area - were able to build upon their totals through the first five months of this year. The other seven highest-volume metropolitan areas all let fewer permits for new residential construction work through May of this year than during January-May 1999. Declines among last year's top ten have been especially steep in Orlando and Dallas, with over-the-year losses of more than 20%.

Among the 15 metropolitan areas that made up the balance of last year's "Top 25" home building markets, the growth momentum so far this year has been somewhat stronger, with a respectable 7 of these areas recording increases in building permits so far in 2000. Only the Portland metropolitan area had registered a decline of more than 10% in permit activity through five months of 2000, compared with three areas with double-digit losses among last year's "Top 10". The most impressive over-the-year gains have been recorded in Los Angeles, New York, Denver, and Riverside-San Bernardino.

Three metro areas that were just outside of last year's "Top 25" -- and that are coming on strong to the point that they could break into this year's highest-volume list - are St. Louis (5,954 permits, +10.4%), Sacramento (with 5,896 residential permits issued through May 2000, up 21.5% from a year ago), and Memphis (4,686 permits, +20.2%).

However, there's another group of metro areas that were "contenders" for last year's "Top 25" list that have faded this year. Although permit volume is still reasonably high, disappointing losses have been recorded in 2000 by Miami (-25.7%), Cincinnati (-16.9%), Fort Lauderdale (-10.7%), Nashville (-9.5%), and Jacksonville (-8.9%).

Also See:

Building Materials Price Inflation

Housing Starts

Consumer Confidence By Region

New Residential Building Permits by Region

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